比特币价格今日行情,以太坊行情

2021年机遇与风险同在,加密市场在这一年表现如何?

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随着12月走入中下旬,数字资产市场的2021年也来到了收官阶段,在即将过去的2021年,我们不仅见证了数字资产市场波澜壮阔的牛市进程,也经历了短时骤跌的惨淡行情,不过就在这波折起伏的过程中,我们依然看到整个市场始终保持着充满活力的发展势头。

所以,在本文中,我们将分别从数字资产市场的整体概况,比特币和以太坊两大龙头的发展历程还有NFT、GameFi等今年市场上的黑马等不同角度来粗浅的回顾2021年数字资产市场上有哪些值得关注的关键信息。

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2021年数字资产市场整体概况

首先,让我们来关注一下数字资产市场总市值的变化情况。据第三方数据网站coingecko统计的信息,2021年1月1日,数字资产市场总市值大约为7871亿美元,一度距离2017年上一轮牛市的8486亿美元的总市值高峰仅有7.2%的差距。


2021年数字资产市场总市值的变化情况,数据来源coingecko
但是很快,数字资产市场就按下了加速键,仅仅4天之后,就在2021年1月5日,数字资产市场总市值就成功突破历史前高,创下了8641亿美元的新纪录。此后便开始了长达4个月的震荡上行趋势,接连在1月7日突破1万亿美元、并在4月6日成功问鼎2万亿美元整数关口,最终于5月12日创下2.56万亿美元的上半年高峰。随后进入为期两个多月的下行区间,数字资产市场总市值规模最低跌至1.25万亿美元,跌幅超过50%,市场上弥漫着悲观的情绪。
不过随着第三季度市场内外部环境的企稳向好,在触底之后,从7月下旬开始总市值再次开始上涨之路,并成功在11月10日突破3万亿美元大关,再创新高。截至12月14日数据,数字资产市场总市值虽然有所回落,但依然维持在2.38万亿美元上下,略低于上半年的峰值水平(以上数字资产市场总市值数据均参考自coingecko)。

比特币和以太坊分歧初显

据欧易平台信息,2021年1月1日,比特币价格收于29185.7美元;4月14日时,达到64864.9美元,创下今年上半年的历史新高,阶段性最大涨幅122.3%;在随后的下跌行情中,最低回落到28808美元,略低于年初时2.9万美元的价格。接下来在下半年的复苏行情下,再度冲高至11月10日的69040美元,一度逼近7万美元的整数关口,年内最大涨幅136.6%。与其价格波动相对应的,是其市值的变化。
据qkl123网站统计,今年年初,比特币的最低市值为5666亿美元,在7月份最低触及5617亿美元,而在第三季度至第四季度的上涨行情中,再次反弹至1.28万亿美元(11月10日),年内累计最大涨幅127.9%,与其价格涨幅相差无几。


2021年比特币市值走势,数据来源qkl123

换个角度来看,我们再来对比一下比特币市值占数字资产市场总市值份额的变化。2021年1月1日,比特币的市占率约为70%,当月11日时,上涨至77.11%,这也是截至12月14日,今年比特币市占率的最高值。等到了5月16日,这一数值跌到38.13%,跌幅超过50%。自此之后便在40%~50%的区间内波动,截至12月14日,比特币的市占率约为42.1%。
作为对比,以太坊在价格方面,则从今年1月初的735.42美元上涨至5月12日的4371.96美元,阶段性最大涨幅接近495%;在第三季度的下跌行情中虽然价格也有所回落,但最低跌至1700美元附近,相较于年初的价格,依然有131%的涨幅;伴随着大盘回暖,顺利在11月10日创下4871.42美元的历史新高,至此录得年内最大涨幅562.7%,要高于比特币的127.9%。
在市值波动方面,同样据qkl123统计信息,以太坊在年初时总市值仅为840.32亿美元,对比当日比特币的市值规模,只能占到后者的14.82%。


2021年以太坊市值走势,数据来源qkl123
而截至12月14日,以太坊年内最高市值达到了5716.66亿美元(11月10日),相比年初的规模涨幅780.6%。而和同期比特币的市值规模对比,以太坊市值则相当于比特币市值的44.66%,单单从占比变化来看,涨幅超过3倍有余。
从另外一个维度,能够让我们更直观的发现以太坊和比特币在二级市场上的这种分歧走势。
以ETH/BTC汇率变化的角度看,我们可以清晰的看到,在今年年初,两者的汇率约为0.025,但在之后的一年时间里,便快速震荡上行,在5月中旬首次触及0.08;然后自10月下旬以来,再次开启加速阶段,至10月8日,达到0.08836的位置,这是近三年以来,ETH/BTC汇率的新高。


2021年ETH/BTC汇率的变化,数据来源欧易
对于比特币和以太坊在二级市场上所出现的以上分歧,其实更深层次的原因是数字资产市场上的广大投资者对于比特币和以太坊两条不同发展路线的分歧,这种分歧伴随着DeFi、NFT、GameFi以及DAO和WEB3.0等诸多新兴概念的发展而正处于持续加剧的阶段。


NFT和GameFi的火热

如果说去年的数字资产市场上,DeFi是一枝独秀的黑马,那么今年市场中则要热闹的多,甚至可以说是百花争艳,大有你方唱罢我登场的架势。今年上半年,在奥运会以及众多区域性体育赛事和诸多艺术圈、体育界知名公司、人士的加持下,NFT交易市场出现了一波短暂的小高潮。


2021年NFT市场日交易额与价格趋势变化,数据来源欧科云链链上大师
从上面欧科云链链上大师给出的统计信息可以看到,2月26日,NFT市场的当日交易额一度达到2.05亿美元,平均成交价格超过了8万美元,当日交易笔数约为2400笔。在经过了几个月的蓄力之后,NFT市场最终在8月~10月间迎来了全面爆发,交易额、平均成交价格和交易笔数多个关键指标大多创下新的记录。用数据来说话,在此期间,NFT市场最大日交易额突破了5.8亿美元,最高单日交易笔数超过了8万笔,如此的交易规模,对于流动性一般的NFT市场,不得不说是一个值得称赞的成绩。
最后来看GameFi,由GameFi带火的P2E模式,不仅给数字资产市场带来了新鲜的玩法,也给传统游戏市场带来了前所未有的冲击,同时也给元宇宙带来的无尽的想象力。据欧科云链链上大师的统计数据,GameFi在今年4月便迎来了一次快速发展期,当月便录得33.65亿美元的最高交易记录,交易人数超过20万人,交易次数超过500万次。


2021年GameFi市场概况,数据来源欧科云链链上大师
此后,虽然交易量方面有所下滑,但是从交易人数和日交易次数两个维度来看,却呈现出稳步上涨的趋势。截至12月14日,单日参与GameFi的用户数最高超过了68万人,交易次数超过来2400万次,开始呈现出用户基数扩大、频次增加、单次交易额降低的特点。

结语

距离2021年的结束仅剩十余天,虽然当前以比特币为代表的大多数数字资产的表现依然略显低迷,但是目前来看,元宇宙、GameFi等概念在市场上的热度依然保持着相当的影响力,特别是自Facebook改名Meta以来,市场上相关赛道的投融资更为活跃,最后让我们共同期望在2022年的数字资产市场能够有良好的表现。

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